📈 Market Analysis: Cardamom’s Climactic Challenges
The cardamom market has recently faced significant turbulence due to adverse weather conditions and fluctuating supply levels, particularly in major producing regions like India and Nepal. The latest auction prices have shown a notable increase, reflecting the scarcity of supply amidst growing demand. However, the overall market sentiment remains cautious as the future of cardamom production hangs in the balance due to ongoing climatic adversities.
Exclusive Offers on CMBroker
Cardamom powder
FOB 26.01 €/kg
(from IN)
Cardamom whole
green,7.5-8 mm
FOB 18.98 €/kg
(from IN)
Cardamom whole
green 6.0-6.5 mm
99%
FOB 17.13 €/kg
(from IN)
📊 Current Market Prices
| Type | Price (USD) | Previous Price (USD) | Update Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardamom powder | 26.01 | 26.01 | 2025-05-02 |
| Cardamom whole, green 7.5-8 mm | 18.98 | 18.98 | 2025-05-02 |
| Cardamom whole, green 6.0-6.5 mm | 17.13 | 17.13 | 2025-05-02 |
📉 Market Drivers
- Significant crop losses in India and Nepal due to unfavorable weather, with up to 70% potential loss reported.
- Increased auction prices due to reduced supply, yet spot market sales remain weak.
- Export figures show a promising increase, supporting higher market valuations.
⛅ Weather Forecast – Major Producing Regions
Current forecasts indicate continued unfavorable weather conditions, which could further impact the already strained cardamom crops. This situation is critical as it affects both the quality and quantity of the upcoming harvest.
🔮 Price Forecast – Next 3 Days
| Date | Expected Price Range (USD) |
|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | 17.00 – 26.50 |
| 2025-05-04 | 17.00 – 26.50 |
| 2025-05-05 | 17.00 – 26.50 |
📌 Conclusion & Strategic Recommendations
- 🛒 Buyers: Monitor market closely, consider securing supplies before further price hikes.
- 🏭 Sellers: Capitalize on current high prices, but prepare for potential drops if weather improves.
- 📊 Traders: Keep an eye on weather updates and adjust strategies accordingly.
