The fennel market in Varial continues to demonstrate remarkable stability, despite slight fluctuations in arrivals and steady absorption by demand centers. Over the past week, the APMC yard has seen only a marginal fall in arrivals, dropping from 1,500 to approximately 1,425 bags. However, this minor dip in supply did not translate into any significant price changes. Across all grades of fennel, prices have stayed consistent, reflecting both the sustained demand from spice manufacturers and exporters, as well as an absence of external volatility.
Top-quality fennel grades continue to attract premium interest, maintaining robust demand from value-added segments, particularly exporters and spice blenders. Meanwhile, traders in Varial report no tangible price pressure, indicating an underlying market equilibrium where moderate demand and available stocks remain closely matched. Unless a notable surge in supply occurs or an external factor disrupts trade flows, prices are expected to remain at current levels. This period of stability offers market participants a measure of predictability in planning their procurement strategies. The comparative calm accompanying this week’s market dynamics serves as a stark contrast to the mild volatility often associated with seasonal transitions or disruptive weather patterns, underlining the efficiency and maturity of fennel trade infrastructure in the region.
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FOB 1.02 €/kg
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📈 Prices
| Market | Grade | Closing Price (USD/quintal) | Weekly Change | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APMC Varial | Top-Quality | $29.10 | 0% | Stable |
| APMC Varial | Medium-Quality | $25.50 | 0% | Stable |
| APMC Varial | Lower-Quality | $22.00 | 0% | Stable |
| Product | Grade | Purity | Origin | Location | Price (EUR/kg) | Change | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fennel seeds | Grade – A | 99% | IN | New Delhi | 1.15 | 0% | 2025-09-12 |
| Fennel seeds | Grade – A | 98% | IN | New Delhi | 0.88 | 0% | 2025-09-12 |
| Fennel seeds | 99% | IN | New Delhi | 1.02 | 0% | 2025-09-12 | |
| Fennel seeds | 98% | IN | New Delhi | 0.93 | 0% | 2025-09-12 | |
| Fennel seeds | 98% | BR | Brasília | 1.90 | 0% | 2025-09-12 | |
| Fennel (powder) | IN | New Delhi | 2.60 | -0.8% | 2025-09-12 | ||
| Fennel (whole, organic) | IN | New Delhi | 2.54 | -0.8% | 2025-09-06 |
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Arrivals marginally down from 1,500 to 1,425 bags in Varial during the last two trading days
- Premium quality grades maintain high demand from manufacturers and export segment
- Medium and lower grades see stable, consistent absorption in domestic market
- No major stock accumulation reported at market yards, indicating tight supply-demand balance
📊 Fundamentals & Market Drivers
- Market remains insulated against broader commodity volatility due to stable trade flows and recent balanced arrivals
- No disruptive weather events or significant logistic delays reported
- Speculative positioning limited; trade participation mainly for spot procurement and exports
- Similar pricing trends reported in last month’s fennel market report, suggesting minimal seasonality impact during this period
🌦️ Weather Outlook
- Weather forecasts for major fennel-growing regions in India and Brazil indicate normal to above-average temperatures with no adverse rainfall predicted for the next week
- The stable climatic conditions favor steady crop maturation and uninterrupted market operations
- No evidence of frost or excess moisture, reducing the risk of quality degradation for standing fennel crops
🌐 Global Production & Stocks
- India remains the dominant fennel producer and exporter; domestic consumption is robust, with incremental export growth to Middle East and European markets
- Brazil’s export-quality fennel fetches a premium (EUR 1.90/kg FOB Brasília), supported by consistent quality and lower supply volumes
- Downstream stock levels reported at normal, supportive of current pricing regime
📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- 🏦 For buyers: Consider scheduled purchases; opportunity for forward contracts at current prices for next 2–3 weeks
- 📦 For exporters: Secure premium grades to lock in margin before potential arrival surges later in the season
- 🧑🌾 For farmers/traders: Maintain regular market participation—no immediate need to accelerate sales or hold back stocks
- 📉 Risk scenario limited unless weather deteriorates or unexpected arrivals surge
🔮 3-Day Regional Price Forecast
| Exchange | Grade | Price (USD/quintal) | Price (EUR/kg) | Forecast Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APMC Varial | Top-Quality | $29.00–$31.50 | 1.02–1.15 | Stable |
| APMC Varial | Medium-Quality | $23.50–$27.50 | 0.88–0.93 | Stable |
| APMC Varial | Lower-Quality | $20.25–$24.50 | 0.80–0.88 | Stable |
| FOB New Delhi | Grade A, 99% | – | 1.15 | Stable |
