The Fennel (Variali) market is demonstrating remarkable stability even as fresh arrivals flood major North Gujarat trading centers. Farmers have delivered significant new supplies, with daily arrivals in top hubs like Rajkot and Unjha surpassing 2,000 quintals. Traditionally, such a surge in supply could prompt price corrections, yet robust demand and steady, active trading are preventing any major price weakness. Premium fennel is holding firm in the $38.55–$45.18 per quintal bracket, while medium and lower quality lots are likewise steady.
This signals that the market is well-balanced – with consumption closely tracking increased yields and farm-gate outflows. Weather conditions, a perennial concern during the monsoon season, have so far left crop quality and trading volumes unaffected. Since both farmers and traders find comfort in this price stability, analysts suggest that only a sharp shock – either through unexpected weather changes or a flood of additional arrivals – could materially disrupt the current range. For now, the fennel market offers a rare oasis of predictability in an otherwise volatile agri-commodity landscape.
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📈 Prices
| Variety | Location | Quality | Latest Price | Previous Price | Currency | Date | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fennel seeds | New Delhi (IN) | 99% | €1.02/kg | €1.02 | EUR | 2025-09-19 | Stable |
| Fennel (whole, organic) | New Delhi (IN) | Organic | €2.50/kg | €2.54 | EUR | 2025-09-19 | Slightly Weaker |
| Fennel seeds (Grade A) | New Delhi (IN) | 99% | €1.12/kg | €1.15 | EUR | 2025-09-19 | Firm |
| Fennel seeds (Grade A) | New Delhi (IN) | 98% | €0.86/kg | €0.88 | EUR | 2025-09-19 | Stable |
| Fennel seeds | New Delhi (IN) | 98% | €0.90/kg | €0.93 | EUR | 2025-09-19 | Slightly Lower |
| Fennel seeds | Brasília (BR) | 98% | €1.85/kg | €1.90 | EUR | 2025-09-19 | Softer |
| Fennel (powder, organic) | New Delhi (IN) | Organic | €2.55/kg | €2.60 | EUR | 2025-09-19 | Stable |
Indian Spot Market (North Gujarat):
- Premium quality: $38.55–$45.18/quintal (stable)
- Medium quality: $34.94–$40.36/quintal (stable)
- Lower quality: $30.12–$36.14/quintal (stable)
🌍 Supply & Demand
- Arrivals: Major arrival spike in Rajkot & Unjha (>2,000 quintals daily).
- Demand: Remains consistent and matches increased arrivals, absorbing farm-gate stocks.
- Trade: Futures relatively quiet; spot trade stable due to strong off-take in India’s spice markets, with overseas orders steady.
- Exports/Imports: India remains primary exporter. No notable disruption in key trade routes or buyer destinations.
📊 Fundamentals
- Seasonal Arrivals: Typical post-harvest influx supports stable market profile.
- Inventories: Stockists report manageable stocks; no risk of glut or tightness.
- Speculative Positioning: Minimal in current environment, lending predictability.
🌤️ Weather Outlook
- North Gujarat, Saurashtra, and Rajasthan are experiencing typical late monsoon conditions. Short-term forecast indicates mostly dry to mildly humid days, favorable for storage and ongoing arrivals.
- No major rainfall or adverse events predicted for the next 5-7 days.
- Yield/Quality: Weather neutrality is supporting quality maintenance and efficient movement to market.
🏭 Global Production & Stock Overview
| Country | Export/Import Position | Estimated 2024 Production (MT) | Stock Change (YoY) |
|---|---|---|---|
| India | Top exporter | ~700,000 | +2% |
| Turkey | Exporter | ~25,000 | Stable |
| Egypt | Importer | ~18,000 | Minor drop |
| China | Net self-sufficient | ~20,000 | Slight increase |
| Brazil | Exporter | ~8,000 | Stable |
📆 Trading Outlook & Recommendations
- Prices likely to remain within current range barring a large weather or arrival shock.
- For traders: Favor stable positions, avoid over-leveraging; maintain exposure to premium and organic fennel.
- For farmers: Consider gradual selling to capture premium as demand holds steady.
- For exporters: Leverage sustained Indian market stability for contract fulfillment; mild edge for high-quality organic fennel.
- Monitor weather evolution and future arrival pace closely for any sign of volatility ahead.
🔮 3-Day Price Forecast
| Market/Exchange | Grade | Current Price | Forecast Range | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Delhi (Spot) | Premium/Grade A | €1.12–€1.15/kg | €1.10–€1.15/kg | Stable |
| Unjha (Mandis) | Premium | $38.55–$45.18/qtl | $38–$46/qtl | Stable |
| Brasília (FOB) | Grade A | €1.85/kg | €1.80–€1.90/kg | Softer |