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The Demand for Ukrainian Barley Is Falling Rapidly

Mintec Global
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Extremely low liquidity of barley on the Ukrainian grain market.

It is expected that the volume of Ukrainian barley trade in the ports will decrease in February. The fall of the market is associated with the future rescheduling of the humanitarian corridor. At the moment, the current demand from Romania still gives a chance to sell barley, further market decrease can be predicted. In Ukraine, current stocks of barley amount to about 3 million tons — these are significant volumes. In previous years, stocks of barley in the same period did not exceed 1.5 million tons.

Against the background of low export demand, the purchase prices for barley in the ports of Ukraine remain at the level of 180-190 USD per ton, while the prices of fodder wheat and corn have risen to 200-215 USD per ton.

Total export of grains decreased.

As of February 1, the total export of grain since the beginning of the 2022-2023 is 26.7 million tons compared to 38.6 million tons of the previous year, according to the data of the State Customs Service.

In particular, the export volumes of the following grains decreased:

corn — by 3.3%, up to 15.12 million tons;
wheat — by 43.4%, up to 9.662 million tons;
barley – three times, up to 1.815 million tons.

In general, grain exports in January amounted to about 4 million tons, compared to 6 million tons in the same month of the previous year. Note that last year’s figure was recorded before the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February and the blockade of Ukrainian ports.

Import/Export Statistics

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