Dried Pineapple Prices Ease Slightly as Heat Stresses Thai Crop Outlook

Dried pineapple prices from Thailand and Vietnam are edging lower but remain historically firm, with only marginal week‑on‑week declines and a steady to slightly soft short‑term outlook. Extremely hot weather in Thailand and very warm conditions in Vietnam are not yet disrupting dried supply, but they keep weather risk elevated for the upcoming summer crop.

Export‑oriented processors in Thailand and Vietnam are currently well supplied, allowing for small downward adjustments in dried pineapple offers despite strong overall fruit output. Very high temperatures across Thailand and hot, mainly dry conditions in Vietnam are the main watchpoints for fruit size and quality into the April–August production window. In this context, buyers have a tactical opportunity to secure nearby coverage on minor dips while keeping flexibility for potential weather‑driven volatility later in the season.

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📈 Prices & Recent Moves

Dried pineapple prices in euro terms are fractionally softer over the last week. Vietnamese FOB Hanoi offers for conventional dried pineapple are just below EUR 6.30/kg, down about 0.3% from the prior update. Thai-origin dried pineapple (normal sugar) delivered into Northwest Europe trades around EUR 3.60–3.70/kg FCA for 8–10 mm cuts and slightly above that for 5–7 mm cuts, also easing by around 0.5% week‑on‑week.

The mild retreat reflects comfortable spot availability and easing logistics, rather than any significant shift in fundamentals. Thai ports remain busy with sugar exports, but congestion is focused on bulk sugar flows rather than containerised dried fruit, so freight impacts on dried pineapple are currently limited.

Product	Origin	Location / Term	Latest Price (EUR/kg)	WoW Change
Dried pineapple, conventional	Vietnam	FOB Hanoi	≈ 6.30	▼ ~0.3%
Dried pineapple, 5–7 mm, normal sugar	Thailand	FCA NL	≈ 3.75	▼ ~0.5%
Dried pineapple, 8–10 mm, normal sugar	Thailand	FCA NL	≈ 3.65	▼ ~0.7%

🌍 Supply & Demand Drivers (TH, VN)

Thailand’s 2026 pineapple output is officially projected higher year‑on‑year, with the Commerce Ministry expecting pineapple production around 1.37 million tonnes, up more than 10% versus last year as part of a broader fruit surplus that has prompted state measures to stabilise prices and boost exports. This underpins solid raw material availability for canning, juice and drying plants, even as individual regions struggle with heat and water stress.

In Vietnam, pineapple has become a strategic export fruit, supported by investment in production linkages and post‑harvest technology. Recent reports highlight expansion of specialised pineapple zones and strong export growth in 2025 for pineapple and coconut products, signalling active demand from overseas buyers and continued incentives for processors to run at high utilisation. This demand backdrop helps keep Vietnamese dried pineapple prices elevated versus Thai origin.

🌦️ Weather & Crop Outlook (Next 3 Days)

Thailand (TH): The next three days (18–20 April) are forecast to be extremely hot across much of Thailand, with highs around 39–41°C, hazy sunshine and only isolated thunderstorms. Such heat raises irrigation needs and can stress fruit, particularly for the early summer pineapple crop, but short, three‑day heat spikes alone are unlikely to materially change dried supply in the immediate term.

Vietnam (VN): Vietnam will also see very warm conditions, with highs in the mid‑30s°C and some scattered thunderstorms today before turning drier and hazy over the following two days. These conditions are generally favourable for fruit maturation and post‑harvest drying, with only localised storm risk. Overall, near‑term weather argues for a stable 3‑day supply outlook, but the broader seasonal heat pattern bears monitoring for potential quality issues later in the summer crop.

📊 Market Fundamentals

For Thailand, the combination of rising fruit output and state‑backed measures to absorb surplus fruit (including targeted support for exports) suggests an overall supply‑heavy environment for pineapple in 2026. While a recent drought‑related risk assessment flagged elevated vulnerability for Thailand’s pineapple belt, processors currently appear sufficiently supplied to maintain continuous dried production, which caps nearby price rallies.

Vietnam, by contrast, is emphasising value‑added and “clean” pineapple production through cooperative‑processor linkages, helping to stabilise raw material flows and quality. Strong growth in pineapple exports to the EU and other markets in 2025 reinforces this trend, tightening availability for domestic buyers and supporting the premium of Vietnamese dried pineapple over Thai origin.

📆 Trading Outlook & 3‑Day Price View

🔎 Trading Recommendations (Short Term)

• Buyers (EU, Asia): Use the current mild dip in Thai FCA prices (around EUR 3.60–3.70/kg) to secure coverage for Q2–Q3 needs, particularly on 8–10 mm cuts, while avoiding over‑committing beyond the main summer crop until the full impact of the heat spell on fruit quality is clearer.
• Buyers needing premium origin: Vietnamese FOB offers remain structurally higher; consider blending Thai and Vietnamese product where specifications allow to optimise cost without compromising quality.
• Sellers/Processors: In Thailand and Vietnam, maintain offer discipline; current fundamentals justify only small discounts. Monitor heat and any emerging quality issues closely, as these could justify firmer pricing for later‑season deliveries.

📉 3‑Day Regional Price Indication (Direction)

• TH dried pineapple (export, basis FCA EU): Prices expected to remain stable to slightly softer over the next 3 days as supply is comfortable and no immediate weather shock is priced in.
• VN dried pineapple (FOB Hanoi): Prices likely to stay broadly stable, with only marginal downside, supported by firm export demand and relatively tighter supply of high‑spec product.

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