Dried Mango Prices Edge Sideways as Thai & Vietnamese Supply Stays Ample

Dried mango prices from Vietnam and Thailand are drifting slightly lower to broadly stable, reflecting ample raw mango availability and only modest spot demand in Europe and Asia. Weather in key growing regions remains seasonally hot with scattered thunderstorms, but no major yield threat is visible over the next few days, keeping supply-side pressure intact.

The current market is shaped by high fresh-mango availability in Thailand’s ongoing “golden season” and Vietnam’s strong processing capacity for export-grade soft‑dried mango. Thai farmers have publicly complained about depressed fresh mango prices, signalling abundant raw material for dryers, while export demand for dried tropical fruit from Vietnam into the EU and US continues to grow. With no disruptive weather events forecast in the next 3 days for Thailand or Vietnam, dried mango prices are expected to trade in a narrow range, with only marginal negotiation-driven moves.

📈 Prices & Recent Moves

All values converted to EUR at ~1.07 USD/EUR where needed and rounded.

Product	Origin	Location / Term	Latest Price (EUR/kg)	1-week Change
Dried mango chunks, 2–3 cm, 13–19% moisture	Vietnam	FOB Hanoi	≈ 5.60	▼ ~0.5% vs 18 April
Dried mango slices & chunks, 2–15 mm	Vietnam	FOB Hanoi	≈ 5.80	▼ ~0.5% vs 18 April
Dried mango, normal sugar, 8–10 mm	Thailand	FCA Dordrecht	≈ 4.55	▲ ~1% vs 18 April

Vietnam FOB levels have eased fractionally from mid‑April, confirming a mildly soft tone but not a sharp correction. Thai‑origin dried mango in the Netherlands has ticked up slightly, suggesting some restocking interest in Europe despite still comfortable inventory.

🌍 Supply, Demand & Trade Flows

Thailand is in the heart of its fresh mango season, with local media highlighting a broader “golden season” for fruits and projected fruit output growth near 6% in 2026, implying abundant raw material for drying and export snacks. At the same time, Thai MPs have raised concerns about extremely low farmgate mango prices, indicating an oversupplied fresh market and pressure on growers.

Vietnam continues to position itself as a major hub for soft‑dried mango exports, with processors stressing strong demand from the EU and US for dried tropical fruits. This underpins steady factory utilization even as raw fruit availability remains comfortable. Globally, mango exports from Mexico into the US are projected above 350,000 tonnes for the current season, adding to overall international mango availability and limiting any tightness perceptions downstream in dried products.

⛅ Weather Outlook (TH & VN, Next 3 Days)

Thailand’s Meteorological Department expects typical hot-season conditions with scattered summer thunderstorms through 28 April 2026, following a recent high‑pressure surge from China. Thunderstorms are forecast for 10–20% of areas, but no severe or prolonged event is signalled that would threaten the current mango harvest or immediate drying operations.

In Vietnam’s main mango regions (e.g. south-central and southeastern provinces), recent regional forecasts show seasonally hot weather with localized showers, but no organized extreme event over the next three days. Overall, weather conditions in both Thailand and Vietnam look neutral to slightly supportive for uninterrupted harvesting and processing, keeping short‑term supply risks low.

📊 Market Fundamentals & Sentiment

Domestic oversupply in Thailand, evidenced by farmer complaints that fresh mango prices barely cover packaging costs, suggests processors can secure raw fruit at competitive levels for dried production. This, combined with the peak seasonal flow of fruit, weighs against any sharp short‑term price spikes in dried product.

On the demand side, EU and US buyers continue to show interest in diversified dried tropical fruit portfolios, with Vietnamese suppliers marketing export‑quality soft‑dried mango as a value‑added outlet for surplus fruit. However, buyers appear well covered in the very near term, limiting their urgency to bid prices higher. Speculative positioning in niche dried fruits remains limited, with trade dominated by physical buyers and processors rather than financial players.

🧭 Trading Outlook

• Short-term buyers (importers/packers): Use the current slightly softer Vietnamese FOB levels (~5.6–5.8 EUR/kg) to cover nearby needs, but avoid over‑buying as supply is seasonally strong and weather risk is low.
• Thai‑origin users in Europe: The modest uptick to ~4.55 EUR/kg FCA Dordrecht indicates emerging interest; consider staggered purchases rather than large spot blocks, as fresh‑fruit oversupply in Thailand still argues against a rapid rally.
• Processors in TH & VN: With farmers under pressure and raw fruit plentiful, lock in fruit procurement where possible, but maintain price discipline on export offers to preserve margins if global spot demand softens.

📆 3‑Day Regional Price Indication (Direction)

• Vietnam – FOB Hanoi dried mango: Prices expected to trade broadly sideways around 5.6–5.8 EUR/kg over the next three days, with only small negotiation-driven fluctuations.
• Thailand – export‑grade dried mango (EU gateway): FCA Europe indications around 4.5–4.6 EUR/kg likely to hold or edge slightly firmer on minor restocking, but any upside should remain limited given strong raw mango supply and benign weather in Thailand and Vietnam.